Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.003298 0.003623 0.003970 0.004369 0.004815 0.005299 0.005866
2026-01-25 0.002715 0.003164 0.003677 0.004310 0.005072 0.005967 0.007104
2026-02-01 0.002407 0.002918 0.003531 0.004324 0.005332 0.006582 0.008267
2026-02-08 0.002155 0.002695 0.003365 0.004269 0.005467 0.007020 0.009220
2026-02-15 0.001943 0.002493 0.003198 0.004179 0.005527 0.007346 0.010033
2026-02-22 0.001811 0.002379 0.003127 0.004199 0.005725 0.007858 0.011140
2026-03-01 0.001732 0.002325 0.003126 0.004310 0.006048 0.008565 0.012596
2026-03-08 0.001605 0.002194 0.003008 0.004238 0.006096 0.008868 0.013464
2026-03-15 0.001491 0.002072 0.002891 0.004157 0.006117 0.009124 0.014273
2026-03-22 0.001406 0.001985 0.002816 0.004130 0.006213 0.009500 0.015308
2026-03-29 0.001348 0.001934 0.002790 0.004172 0.006418 0.010061 0.016711
2026-04-05 0.001272 0.001849 0.002708 0.004119 0.006462 0.010356 0.017676
2026-04-12 0.001201 0.001772 0.002635 0.004082 0.006541 0.010737 0.018877
2026-04-19 0.001132 0.001692 0.002554 0.004027 0.006587 0.011069 0.020035
2026-04-26 0.001084 0.001642 0.002517 0.004040 0.006749 0.011619 0.021682
2026-05-03 0.001026 0.001575 0.002446 0.003989 0.006791 0.011950 0.022927
2026-05-10 0.000968 0.001501 0.002360 0.003906 0.006766 0.012150 0.023925
2026-05-17 0.000933 0.001464 0.002333 0.003925 0.006931 0.012730 0.025806
2026-05-24 0.000915 0.001456 0.002353 0.004027 0.007261 0.013668 0.028610
2026-05-31 0.000870 0.001397 0.002284 0.003961 0.007259 0.013928 0.029897
2026-06-07 0.000827 0.001340 0.002212 0.003886 0.007231 0.014131 0.031074
2026-06-14 0.000794 0.001299 0.002169 0.003861 0.007301 0.014549 0.032834
2026-06-21 0.000773 0.001279 0.002159 0.003900 0.007506 0.015281 0.035487